Virginia is the second state which Real Clear Polling has shifted from tossup to lean Democrat in recent weeks. On July 27, days after President Joe Biden ended his reelection campaign and endorsed Harris in the 2024 race, Real Clear Polling moved Democratic stronghold of Minnesota and its 10 Electoral votes to "lean Harris."

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close to call.

A new electoral college projection, reportedly based on a model developed by Nate Silver, has sparked significant discussion by predicting a decisive victory for Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, issued good news for Vice President Kamala Harris on an episode of his podcast, Risky Business, with Maria Konnikova. Silver said that "In contrast to this Labor Day period,

It’s a sign that Republicans are sweating every single electoral vote now that Vice President Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee. Both Pillen and Ricketts, himself a former governor, have endorsed the idea of eliminating the state’s electoral vote split,

WATCHERS with binoculars, observers of America’s presidential race have had their eyes trained on the opinion polls to see whether they can spot a post-debate bounce for either candidate. Now they can.